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NORDSTROM INC (JWN)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Net sales rose 3.4% year over year to $3.785B, driven by strength in both banners; gross margin expanded 155 bps to 36.6% on strong regular-price sales; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.72 (impacted by a $54M supply chain asset impairment), while adjusted EPS was $0.96, up vs $0.84 last year .
  • Digital sales increased 6.2% and represented 37% of total; Rack net sales grew 8.8% (comps +4.1%), Nordstrom banner net sales +0.9% (comps +0.9%); Anniversary Sale timing shift added ~100 bps to Q2 net sales versus 2023 .
  • Guidance updated: FY revenue -1% to +1%; comps flat to +2%; EBIT margin 3.0–3.4%; adjusted EBIT margin 3.6–4.0%; GAAP EPS $1.40–$1.70; adjusted EPS $1.75–$2.05; tax rate ~27%; management also flagged ~10 bps SG&A charges in Q3/Q4 from accelerated tech depreciation and highlighted a strategic data-platform change to enable faster deployment of generative AI .
  • Key catalysts: sustained gross margin expansion, Rack store growth (11 opened YTD, plan to open 12 more ahead of holiday), RFID rollout improving inventory accuracy, and Marketplace launch expanding choice; management struck a cautiously confident tone on the back half given external uncertainties .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • “We delivered solid results…with net sales of $3.8 billion, and earnings per share of 96 cents. We grew net sales as well as comparable sales and expanded margins” (CEO) .

  • RFID rollout and better inventory flow improved speed, reduced shrink, and enhanced fulfillment accuracy; supply chain optimization supported steady flow of fresh merchandise across banners .

  • Marketplace launched in April, adding 15,000+ items and nearly 100 brands, expanding digital assortment (not yet material but on-track) .

  • Anniversary Sale engagement was high: 75% of Icon/Ambassador Nordy Club shopped; Active posted double-digit growth; private brands grew mid-single digits with Nordstrom and Zella as top two volume brands (President) .

What Went Wrong

  • SG&A rose 160 bps to 34.4% on a supply chain asset impairment and lapped a prior-year real estate gain; adjusted SG&A was 33.0% excluding the $54M impairment .
  • Ending inventory increased 8.3% YoY, exceeding sales growth, largely to support Rack/new stores and rack.com; management plans to realign sales-to-inventory spread .
  • Credit card revenues declined modestly as a percent of total due to higher losses (partly offset by higher balances/yield), consistent with consumer budget pressures (CFO) .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Sales ($USD Billions)$4.3 $3.221 $3.785
Total Revenues ($USD Billions)N/A$3.335 $3.894
Diluted EPS (GAAP)$0.96 ($0.24) $0.72
Adjusted EPS (Non-GAAP)N/A($0.24) $0.96
Gross Profit Margin %34.4% 31.6% 36.6%
SG&A as % of Net Sales34.4% 35.8% 34.4%
EBIT Margin %5.7% (0.6%) 5.0%
Segment Net Sales ($USD Billions)Q1 2025Q2 2025
Nordstrom$2.040 $2.514
Nordstrom Rack$1.181 $1.271
Total Company$3.221 $3.785
YoY Change – Nordstrom+0.6% +0.9%
YoY Change – Rack+13.8% +8.8%
YoY Change – Total+5.1% +3.4%
KPIsQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Digital Sales (% of Net Sales)38% 34% 37%
Digital Sales YoY(2%) (0.2%) +6.2%
Ending Inventory YoY(3%) (6.3%) +8.3%
Available Liquidity ($B)$1.4 incl. >$0.6 cash $1.2 incl. $0.428 cash $1.5 incl. $0.679 cash

Non-GAAP adjustments: Adjusted EPS and adjusted EBIT exclude supply chain asset impairment ($54M in Q2) and other items; adjusted EBIT margin was 6.4% vs GAAP EBIT margin 5.0% in Q2 .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 2025)Current Guidance (Q2 2025)Change
Revenue (YoY vs 53-week FY2023)FY 2024-2% to +1% -1% to +1% Raised lower bound
Comparable Sales (vs 52 weeks FY2023)FY 2024-1% to +2% Flat to +2% Raised lower bound
EBIT Margin (GAAP)FY 20243.5% to 4.0% 3.0% to 3.4% Lowered (reflects impairment/accelerated depreciation)
Adjusted EBIT MarginFY 2024N/A3.6% to 4.0% Established explicit adjusted range
GAAP EPSFY 2024$1.65–$2.05 $1.40–$1.70 Lowered
Adjusted EPSFY 2024N/A$1.75–$2.05 Established adjusted range
Tax RateFY 2024~27% ~27% Maintained
SG&A (Tech Depreciation)Q3 & Q4 2024N/A~10 bps charges each quarter New headwind
DividendQuarterly$0.19 declared (May) $0.19 declared (Aug) Maintained

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ4 2024 (Q-2)Q1 2025 (Q-1)Q2 2025 (Current)Trend
Operational Optimization / Supply ChainContinued 50+ bps variable supply chain savings; San Bernardino FC relocation to WCOC; inventory productivity improved Faster click-to-delivery; consolidations; theft and inventory cleanup impacted margin; actions taken Ceased build-out of leased omnichannel center; impairment booked; improved speed/reliability; RFID rollout advancing Strengthening, broader scope
Digital Strategy & MarketplaceMarketplace planned for April; focus on personalized experience and choice count Marketplace launched late April; scaling; balanced price points; search/discovery improvements Marketplace added 15k+ items and ~100 brands; not yet material; continued scaling Scaling, positive customer/brand feedback
RFID & Inventory AccuracyNot highlightedInventory integrity initiatives underway RFID enables real-time data, reduces shrink, improves fulfillment accuracy Expanding deployment/benefits
Rack Growth & Store OpeningsOpened 19 stores in 2023; strong ROI; Rack comps high-single digits; rack.com profitable 9 YTD openings; plan total 22 in 2024; strong new-store ROI/customer acquisition 11 YTD openings; plan 12 more; Rack digital strength; BOPIS and store fulfillment rolling out Sustained expansion, omnichannel capabilities
Category PerformanceActive, Beauty, Women’s Apparel led; fewer markdowns Active, Kids, Women’s Apparel and Beauty strong; private brand relaunch Active, Women’s Apparel, Beauty, Kids top performers; Anniversary Sale drove newness Broad-based strength, private brands gaining traction
Credit Card RevenuesExpected ~3% of net sales in 2024; monitoring regulatory changes Decline modestly vs prior year; higher losses Decline modestly vs prior year; consistent with expectations Mild headwind
Macro & Promotional EnvironmentCautious consumer; promotional environment not elevated Promotional environment normal; guidance prudently cautious External environment uncertain; cautious guidance; July Anniversary timing shift noted Cautious stance maintained

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered solid results in the second quarter, with net sales of $3.8 billion, and earnings per share of 96 cents…Our teams executed well throughout the quarter and delivered a successful Anniversary Sale.” – Erik Nordstrom, CEO .
  • “We have…made progress on implementing RFID technology across our locations…improve the accuracy of our inventory…reduce shrink…allowing us to fulfill the items our customers are looking for.” – Erik Nordstrom, CEO .
  • “We made the strategic decision to cease build-out…of a leased omnichannel center…we can serve West Coast customers more efficiently from our existing supply chain network…we have taken an asset impairment charge.” – Erik Nordstrom, CEO .
  • “75% of our Icon and Ambassador Nordy Club members [shopped Anniversary];…active…registered double-digit growth…private brands delivered mid-single digit growth with Nordstrom and Zella as top two.” – Pete Nordstrom, President .
  • “Gross profit…expanded 155 basis points to 36.6 percent on strong regular price sales…SG&A…increased 160 basis points…largely due to the supply chain asset impairment.” – Cathy Smith, CFO .

Q&A Highlights

  • Anniversary Sale: Management was “on plan” with sell-through; strong early read on fall categories (outerwear, sweaters); margins depend on forward sell-through (CFO/President) .
  • Inventory: Overgrowth concentrated at Rack/new stores/rack.com; aging healthy; view inventory quality as strong; aim to realign inventory to demand (President/CFO) .
  • Rack economics: New Rack stores deliver mid-to-high-teens IRR; runway to open 20–25 stores/year; strong customer acquisition from openings (CEO/CFO) .
  • Margin trajectory: Expect small gross margin expansion for full year; SG&A headwinds include tech depreciation charges in Q3/Q4; continued supply chain productivity (CFO) .
  • Designer category: Normalizing to ~2019 levels; inventory balanced, ready to chase; healthier margins expected (President) .

Estimates Context

S&P Global consensus estimates for Q2 2025 were unavailable due to a mapping issue in our SPGI CIQ feed; as a result, comparisons versus Wall Street consensus cannot be provided for this quarter [GetEstimates error].

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Gross margin expansion and adjusted EPS strength underpin improving profitability; watch for continued regular-price mix and shrink improvement to sustain margins into H2 .
  • Rack remains the growth engine: strong new-store ROI, expanding omnichannel (BOPIS, store fulfillment), and differentiated access to premium brands should drive traffic and comps; inventory is intentionally positioned to support this growth .
  • Operational execution (RFID, supply chain optimization) is translating to speed, accuracy, and cost benefits—key to margin durability and improved customer experience .
  • Marketplace expands choice but is not yet material; expect more contribution in 2025 as seller count and discovery improvements scale .
  • Guidance cautious given external uncertainty and accounting/tech charges; focus on adjusted EBIT/adjusted EPS ranges to parse core performance vs one-time impacts .
  • Inventory elevated YoY in Q2 to fuel Rack/digital growth, but aging is healthy; monitor mix and seasonal categories (outerwear, sweaters) pacing into holiday .
  • Near-term trading: narrative likely responds to gross margin resilience, Rack momentum and tech/data initiatives; risk factors include consumer credit pressure and SG&A headwinds from accelerated depreciation .